I find myself shocked that people ask questions of the world from these models, as though pulping every text and its component words relationships and deriving statistical relationships between them should reliably deliver useful information.
Don’t get me wrong, I’ve used LLMs and been amazed by their output, but the p-zombie statistical model has no idea what it is saying back to you and the idea that we should trust these things at all just seems way premature
People try it to see if they can trust it. The answer is "no" for sure, but it's not surprising to see it happen repeatedly especially as vendors release so-called improved models.
I think you are a bit out of touch with recent advancements in LLMs. Asking ChatGPT questions about the world seems pretty much on par with the results Google (Search) shows me. Sure, it misses things here and there, but so do most primary school teachers.
Your argument that this is just a statistical trick sort of gives away that you do not fully accept the usefulness of this new technology. Unless you are trolling, I'd suggest you try a few queries.
I use it extensively for coding, and I have used it to ask questions in things I know nothing about. But in anything I do know something (or maybe a lot) about, I’ve found GPT4 very limited.
But why are these use cases different?
It appears to me that code is at least subject to sustained logic which (evidently) translates quite well to LLMs.
And when you ask an LLM to be creative/generative, it’s also pretty amazing - j mean it’s just doing the Pascal’s Marble run enmasse.
But to ask it for something about the world and expect a good and reliable answer? Aren’t we just setting ourselves up for failure if we think this is a fine thing to do at our current point in time? We already have enough trouble with mis- and dis- information. It’s not like asking it about a certain period in Japanese history is getting it to crawl and summarise the Wikipedia page (although I appreciate it would be more than capable of this) I understand the awe some have at the concept of totally personalised and individualised learning on topics, but fuck me dead we are literally asking a system that has had as much of a corpus of humanity’s textual information as possible dumped into it and then asking it to GENERATE responses between things that the associations it holds may be so weak as to reliably produce gibberish, and the person on the other side has no real way of knowing that
I guess I just don't expect reliable answers from other sources either, so the difference is not that big for me.
Do you trust Wikipedia (based on volunteer data), do you trust news outlets (heavily influenced by politics, lobby groups, and commercial companies), do you trust blogs or forum posts (random people on the internet)?
I don't have this problem with any other model. I've had really long conversations with ChatGPT on road trips and it has never gone off the rails like Gemini seems to do.
trust is going to be a real problem when bringing LLMs to the general population. People trust their GPS to the point of driving right into a lake because it told them to. Even with all these examples of obvious flaws large groups of people are going to take what an LLM told them/showed them as fact.
I have trouble convincing colleagues (technical people) that the same question is not guaranteed to result in the same answer and there's no rhyme or reason for any divergence from what they were expecting. Imagine relying on the output of an LLM for some important task and then you get a different output that breaks things. What would be in the RCA (root cause analysis)? Would it be "the LLM chose different words and we don't know why"? Not much use in that.
I mean, I use GPT-4 on the daily as part of my work and it reliably delivers useful information. It's actually the exception for me if it provides garbage or incorrect information about code.
Don’t get me wrong, I’ve used LLMs and been amazed by their output, but the p-zombie statistical model has no idea what it is saying back to you and the idea that we should trust these things at all just seems way premature