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A manager who can't figure out the difference between 18 easy items and 3 difficult items is already incompetent to manage those projects.


Perhaps you've seen the article on the front page about effort estimation for programmers [1]. I know when I'm handed a bug to fix, until I find the cause I have no idea if it'll be a three hour task or a three day task.

If programmers don't know up front how much effort a task will take, how should managers?

[1] http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4621268




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